Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.656448 6.187750 6.786260 7.519426 8.406391 9.462913 10.846305
2025-01-05 4.924212 5.595857 6.409355 7.496167 8.960429 10.952472 14.056924
2025-01-12 4.292735 5.003477 5.908173 7.195690 9.083683 11.966142 17.309880
2025-01-19 3.792340 4.501170 5.436800 6.834306 9.029510 12.740562 20.943507
2025-01-26 3.619925 4.399411 5.479294 7.204822 10.207868 16.215672 35.180271
2025-02-02 3.573532 4.459075 5.755688 8.004307 12.489278 24.169212 114.194649
2025-02-09 3.432912 4.365079 5.786415 8.412947 14.298561 34.510596 NaN
2025-02-16 3.281664 4.236056 5.740131 8.674295 16.000430 50.765449 NaN
2025-02-23 3.118849 4.071070 5.609494 8.740491 17.304848 75.258317 NaN
2025-03-02 2.909414 3.814361 5.290873 8.347904 17.041365 88.006034 NaN
2025-03-09 2.768045 3.653986 5.122094 8.246580 17.727171 132.348454 NaN
2025-03-16 2.605513 3.447909 4.851704 7.869609 17.254762 154.242252 NaN
2025-03-23 2.499403 3.338427 4.766775 7.960157 18.936953 642.539542 NaN
2025-03-30 2.390253 3.216384 4.647152 7.951303 20.366939 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.256349 3.044496 4.418195 7.629553 20.129284 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.126973 2.872881 4.176092 7.236859 19.314271 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.094447 2.861802 4.239485 7.654001 23.617623 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.102302 2.919940 4.446771 8.553830 34.752042 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.067742 2.900779 4.494851 9.019046 46.236969 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.022420 2.858721 4.489269 9.318533 60.157573 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.966101 2.792718 4.424171 9.396154 73.159748 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.882691 2.672458 4.228579 8.952295 67.788070 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.824961 2.596786 4.126818 8.838758 74.356865 NaN NaN